Marginal: close, but below the bar12 strategies tested
The best Avalanche (AVAX) trading strategy, backtested
No Avalanche (AVAX) trading strategy clearly worked in our backtests. Supertrend came closest, a Sharpe of 0.91 on AVAX alone over 15 trades, short of our bar of 1.0. We ran 12 strategies from 2024-08-15 to 2026-09-29, net of fees, slippage and funding, and every result is below.
By Keel Research Team · Data as of 2026-09-29 · how these backtests were produced
Best Sharpe
0.91
Supertrend
Cleared the bar
0 / 12
Data from
2024-08-15
first bar in the test
Tested through
2026-09-29
end of the test
The AVAX strategy leaderboard
Every strategy ranked by net Sharpe. Rows that clear the Sharpe 1.0 bar are highlighted; failed and wiped-out runs stay visible. Click any strategy for its full multi-asset backtest.
| Strategy | Net Sharpe | Return | Max DD | Trades | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supertrend | 0.91 | +23.2% | −11.2% | 15 | low |
| MACD Crossover | 0.75 | +13.6% | −14.0% | 88 | moderate |
| Confluence | 0.60 | +8.9% | −11.8% | 65 | moderate |
| Supertrend Bollinger | 0.17 | +2.3% | −15.5% | 26 | low |
| MA Crossover | 0.10 | +1.1% | −12.2% | 8 | very low |
| Ichimoku Cloud | -0.00 | -38.5% | −74.3% | 55 | moderate |
| ADX Trend | -0.07 | -1.6% | −12.5% | 48 | moderate |
| Breakout | -0.13 | -52.0% | −73.7% | 108 | ok |
| AI Trading Bot | -0.16 | -6.0% | −23.9% | 14 | low |
| Stochastic | -1.15 | -9.6% | −12.4% | 1 | very low |
| Mean Reversion | -1.16 | -11.2% | −16.1% | 121 | ok |
| RSI | n/a | 0.0% | −0.0% | 0 | very low |
2024-08-15 → 2026-09-29 · net of fees, slippage, and funding · one engine, one window, one cost model for every strategy, with no cherry-picking.
The return column reflects each strategy’s own position sizing (some hold only a small slice of one coin), so Sharpe, which isn’t affected by leverage, is the fair way to rank them. 3 strategies that rank coins against each other (like funding carry and momentum ranking) can't run on a single asset, so they're left out.
Start from the closest: Supertrend
Nothing cleared our bar on AVAX, but Supertrend came closest (Sharpe 0.91). The library version trades a basket of coins. To run it on AVAX alone, fork it and pick AVAX as its only coin. Then see if you can push it further.
At $1,000, Supertrend's worst historical dip on AVAX alone was about $112. Free account, your own keys. Keel only places the trades.
Avalanche trading bot on Hyperliquid
Any strategy on this page can be your Avalanche trading bot, running on your own Hyperliquid account, but none clearly worked on AVAX in our tests. Supertrend came closest. If you still want to run a Avalanche bot, fork it, pick AVAX as its only coin, change the rules and backtest it until the result holds up.
Paper trade it first on live prices, which needs no wallet. When you go live, Keel trades from your own Hyperliquid account through an agent wallet that can place trades but can never withdraw, so your money stays in your account, and you can pause the bot or revoke its access at any time.
What this is: a single-asset backtest of 12 systematic strategies on AVAX, on real Hyperliquid data, net of fees, slippage and funding. A high Sharpe on a low trade count is a small sample, not a promise. Where nothing clears the bar, we say so. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.
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See the full strategy library or the per-asset index.