Marginal — close, but below the bar12 strategies tested
Best trading strategy for AVAX
On AVAX, no strategy clearly cleared our Sharpe 1.0 bar. The closest was Supertrend at Sharpe 0.85 — treat it as marginal, not a green light. We ran 12 single-asset strategies on AVAX; the full leaderboard, including the ones that failed, is below.
By Keel Research · Data as of 2026-07-05 · how these backtests were produced
Best Sharpe
0.85
Supertrend
Cleared the bar
0 / 12
Data coverage
99%
of the window
First bar
2024-08-15
The AVAX strategy leaderboard
Every strategy ranked by net Sharpe. Rows that clear the Sharpe 1.0 bar are highlighted; failed and wiped-out runs stay visible — click any strategy for its full multi-asset backtest.
| Strategy | Net Sharpe | Return | Max DD | Trades | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supertrend | 0.85 | +18.9% | −11.2% | 14 | low |
| Supertrend Bollinger | 0.70 | +7.8% | −5.0% | 5 | very low |
| Ichimoku Cloud | 0.53 | +24.5% | −61.7% | 25 | low |
| MACD Crossover | 0.43 | +5.9% | −9.8% | 458 | ok |
| Breakout | 0.06 | -33.0% | −63.2% | 86 | moderate |
| MA Crossover | 0.06 | -0.0% | −10.8% | 108 | ok |
| Confluence | -0.27 | -3.4% | −14.5% | 263 | ok |
| ADX Trend | -0.35 | -4.7% | −10.8% | 45 | moderate |
| AI Trading Bot | -0.42 | -9.4% | −18.5% | 117 | ok |
| Mean Reversion | -0.47 | -3.0% | −8.8% | 32 | moderate |
| Stochastic | -1.18 | -11.2% | −15.1% | 30 | moderate |
| RSI | — | 0.0% | −0.0% | 0 | very low |
2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05 · net of fees, slippage, and funding · one engine, one window, one cost model for every strategy — no cherry-picking.
The return column reflects each strategy’s own position sizing (some hold only a small slice of one coin), so Sharpe — which isn’t affected by leverage — is the fair way to rank them. 3 strategies that rank coins against each other (like funding carry and momentum ranking) can't run on a single asset, so they're left out.
Start from the closest — Supertrend
Nothing cleared our bar on AVAX, but Supertrend came closest (Sharpe 0.85). Fork it and see if you can push it further — or run it as it is.
At $1,000, Supertrend's worst historical dip on AVAX was about $112. Free account, your own keys — Keel only places the trades.
What this is: a single-asset backtest of 12 systematic strategies on AVAX, on real Hyperliquid data, net of fees, slippage and funding. A high Sharpe on a low trade count is a small sample, not a promise. Where nothing clears the bar, we say so. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.
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Strategies on other assets
See the full strategy library or the per-asset index.