Has a working strategy12 strategies tested
Best trading strategy for ETH
On ETH, the strongest tested strategy is MACD Crossover — Sharpe 1.21 net of fees, slippage and funding over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, across 530 trades. Of the 12 single-asset strategies we backtested on ETH, 1 cleared the Sharpe 1.0 bar. Every number below is a real Hyperliquid backtest, not a claim.
By Keel Research · Data as of 2026-07-05 · how these backtests were produced
Best Sharpe
1.21
MACD Crossover
Cleared the bar
1 / 12
Data coverage
99%
of the window
First bar
2024-08-15
The ETH strategy leaderboard
Every strategy ranked by net Sharpe. Rows that clear the Sharpe 1.0 bar are highlighted; failed and wiped-out runs stay visible — click any strategy for its full multi-asset backtest.
| Strategy | Net Sharpe | Return | Max DD | Trades | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MACD Crossoverclears bar | 1.21 | +13.7% | −6.5% | 530 | ok |
| Breakout | 0.76 | +66.0% | −35.3% | 80 | moderate |
| Supertrend | 0.66 | +11.1% | −7.5% | 18 | low |
| Ichimoku Cloud | 0.55 | +31.6% | −50.0% | 19 | low |
| MA Crossover | 0.46 | +6.4% | −7.5% | 147 | ok |
| Stochastic | 0.36 | +2.5% | −5.6% | 31 | moderate |
| Supertrend Bollinger | 0.30 | +1.7% | −3.7% | 5 | very low |
| RSI | 0.24 | +1.1% | −2.8% | 17 | low |
| AI Trading Bot | 0.19 | +2.3% | −9.9% | 150 | ok |
| ADX Trend | -0.07 | -0.8% | −7.6% | 49 | moderate |
| Confluence | -0.08 | -0.7% | −5.9% | 258 | ok |
| Mean Reversion | -1.27 | -7.0% | −7.9% | 35 | moderate |
2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05 · net of fees, slippage, and funding · one engine, one window, one cost model for every strategy — no cherry-picking.
The return column reflects each strategy’s own position sizing (some hold only a small slice of one coin), so Sharpe — which isn’t affected by leverage — is the fair way to rank them. 3 strategies that rank coins against each other (like funding carry and momentum ranking) can't run on a single asset, so they're left out.
Run the best ETH strategy — MACD Crossover
MACD Crossover cleared the bar on ETH (Sharpe 1.21). Start it on your own Hyperliquid account, or fork it and change the settings first.
At $1,000, MACD Crossover's worst historical dip on ETH was about $65. Free account, your own keys — Keel only places the trades.
What this is: a single-asset backtest of 12 systematic strategies on ETH, on real Hyperliquid data, net of fees, slippage and funding. A high Sharpe on a low trade count is a small sample, not a promise. Where nothing clears the bar, we say so. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.
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