Has a working strategy12 strategies tested
Best trading strategy for BTC
On BTC, the strongest tested strategy is Stochastic — Sharpe 1.22 net of fees, slippage and funding over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, across 30 trades. Of the 12 single-asset strategies we backtested on BTC, 1 cleared the Sharpe 1.0 bar. Every number below is a real Hyperliquid backtest, not a claim.
By Keel Research · Data as of 2026-07-05 · how these backtests were produced
Best Sharpe
1.22
Stochastic
Cleared the bar
1 / 12
Data coverage
99%
of the window
First bar
2024-08-15
The BTC strategy leaderboard
Every strategy ranked by net Sharpe. Rows that clear the Sharpe 1.0 bar are highlighted; failed and wiped-out runs stay visible — click any strategy for its full multi-asset backtest.
| Strategy | Net Sharpe | Return | Max DD | Trades | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stochasticclears bar | 1.22 | +3.1% | −1.3% | 30 | moderate |
| Ichimoku Cloud | 1.11 | +90.9% | −19.4% | 8 | very low |
| Supertrend Bollinger | 0.70 | +4.5% | −4.2% | 7 | very low |
| Supertrend | 0.67 | +7.3% | −7.6% | 23 | low |
| AI Trading Bot | 0.53 | +5.1% | −7.7% | 174 | ok |
| MA Crossover | 0.48 | +4.9% | −7.8% | 182 | ok |
| RSI | 0.31 | +0.9% | −1.7% | 22 | low |
| Breakout | 0.29 | +7.9% | −38.1% | 74 | moderate |
| MACD Crossover | 0.03 | +0.1% | −6.9% | 560 | ok |
| Confluence | -0.25 | -1.4% | −7.4% | 328 | ok |
| ADX Trend | -0.30 | -2.0% | −5.5% | 50 | moderate |
| Mean Reversion | -0.45 | -1.7% | −2.4% | 41 | moderate |
2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05 · net of fees, slippage, and funding · one engine, one window, one cost model for every strategy — no cherry-picking.
The return column reflects each strategy’s own position sizing (some hold only a small slice of one coin), so Sharpe — which isn’t affected by leverage — is the fair way to rank them. 3 strategies that rank coins against each other (like funding carry and momentum ranking) can't run on a single asset, so they're left out.
Run the best BTC strategy — Stochastic
Stochastic cleared the bar on BTC (Sharpe 1.22). Start it on your own Hyperliquid account, or fork it and change the settings first.
At $1,000, Stochastic's worst historical dip on BTC was about $13. Free account, your own keys — Keel only places the trades.
What this is: a single-asset backtest of 12 systematic strategies on BTC, on real Hyperliquid data, net of fees, slippage and funding. A high Sharpe on a low trade count is a small sample, not a promise. Where nothing clears the bar, we say so. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.
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See the full strategy library or the per-asset index.