Marginal: close, but below the bar12 strategies tested

The best Solana (SOL) trading strategy, backtested

No Solana (SOL) trading strategy clearly worked in our backtests. Supertrend came closest, a Sharpe of 0.88 on SOL alone over 25 trades, short of our bar of 1.0. We ran 12 strategies from 2024-08-15 to 2026-09-29, net of fees, slippage and funding, and every result is below.

By Keel Research Team · Data as of 2026-09-29 · how these backtests were produced
Best Sharpe
0.88
Supertrend
Cleared the bar
0 / 12
Data from
2024-08-15
first bar in the test
Tested through
2026-09-29
end of the test

The SOL strategy leaderboard

Every strategy ranked by net Sharpe. Rows that clear the Sharpe 1.0 bar are highlighted; failed and wiped-out runs stay visible. Click any strategy for its full multi-asset backtest.

StrategyNet SharpeReturnMax DDTradesConfidence
Supertrend0.88+19.4%−9.8%25low
RSI0.64+3.4%−2.3%3very low
Stochastic0.63+2.7%−2.2%2very low
Breakout0.56+39.4%−36.9%90moderate
MACD Crossover0.55+8.1%−10.2%105ok
Ichimoku Cloud0.30+0.0%−55.7%43moderate
Supertrend Bollinger0.28+3.8%−6.8%20low
AI Trading Bot0.28+5.1%−17.1%14low
MA Crossover0.25+3.3%−10.4%9very low
Mean Reversion0.21+1.6%−4.0%138ok
Confluence0.03+0.1%−10.4%83moderate
ADX Trend-0.42-5.7%−15.4%53moderate

2024-08-15 → 2026-09-29 · net of fees, slippage, and funding · one engine, one window, one cost model for every strategy, with no cherry-picking.

The return column reflects each strategy’s own position sizing (some hold only a small slice of one coin), so Sharpe, which isn’t affected by leverage, is the fair way to rank them. 3 strategies that rank coins against each other (like funding carry and momentum ranking) can't run on a single asset, so they're left out.

Start from the closest: Supertrend

Nothing cleared our bar on SOL, but Supertrend came closest (Sharpe 0.88). The library version trades a basket of coins. To run it on SOL alone, fork it and pick SOL as its only coin. Then see if you can push it further.

At $1,000, Supertrend's worst historical dip on SOL alone was about $98. Free account, your own keys. Keel only places the trades.

Solana trading bot on Hyperliquid

If you want a bot that snipes new Solana memecoins, this isn't that. These bots trade the SOL perpetual on Hyperliquid by fixed rules you can read.

Any strategy on this page can be your Solana trading bot, running on your own Hyperliquid account, but none clearly worked on SOL in our tests. Supertrend came closest. If you still want to run a Solana bot, fork it, pick SOL as its only coin, change the rules and backtest it until the result holds up.

Paper trade it first on live prices, which needs no wallet. When you go live, Keel trades from your own Hyperliquid account through an agent wallet that can place trades but can never withdraw, so your money stays in your account, and you can pause the bot or revoke its access at any time.

Solana indicators today

The Solana indicator dashboard shows today's daily RSI, MACD, moving averages, volatility and Hyperliquid funding for SOL, updated once a day. Check where SOL stands now, then test a rule on it with the strategies above.

What this is: a single-asset backtest of 12 systematic strategies on SOL, on real Hyperliquid data, net of fees, slippage and funding. A high Sharpe on a low trade count is a small sample, not a promise. Where nothing clears the bar, we say so. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.

Related tools

Trading rules that worked on SOL

Strategies on other assets

See the full strategy library or the per-asset index.
Questions

SOL strategy FAQ

What is the best trading strategy for SOL?

No Solana (SOL) trading strategy clearly worked in our backtests. Supertrend came closest, a Sharpe of 0.88 on SOL alone over 25 trades, short of our bar of 1.0. We ran 12 strategies from 2024-08-15 to 2026-09-29, net of fees, slippage and funding, and every result is below.

How were these SOL strategies tested?

Each strategy was backtested on SOL alone, using its own position sizing, from 2024-08-15 to 2026-09-29, net of fees, slippage and funding, on the same engine Keel uses to trade live. We rank by Sharpe, which isn't affected by leverage. The return column reflects each strategy's built-in sizing, so a cautious strategy can look smaller than a full-size position would.

Do any SOL strategies actually beat buy-and-hold?

No. On SOL, none of the 12 strategies we tested cleared the Sharpe 1.0 bar. We publish that verdict rather than hide it.

Can I backtest my own Solana strategy?

Yes. Build a strategy in Keel, from scratch or by forking one of these, and backtest it on SOL with the same data and costs used here: fees, slippage and funding. The free plan includes 50 backtests a week.