30 strategies2024-08-152026-07-05

Do crypto trading bots work?

Do crypto trading bots work? We backtested 30 distinct strategies on real Hyperliquid data over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, net of fees, slippage and funding. 13 cleared a Sharpe of 1.0, 19 cleared 0.8, and 26 of 30 made money — but 4 lost, one of them about 86%. The median Sharpe was 0.92. So: some do, most are mediocre, and a few are traps — the honest answer is to test before you trust.

By Keel Research · Data as of 2026-07-05 · how these backtests were produced
Cleared Sharpe 1.0
13 / 30
Made money
26 / 30
Lost money
4
Median Sharpe
0.92

All 30 strategies, ranked

30 distinct strategies — trend-following, momentum, mean-reversion, funding-carry and more — some we run live, others we tested only for this study. Ranked by net Sharpe; the ones we run link to their full backtest. Strategies that effectively blew up show n/a for Sharpe — judge those by return instead.

StrategyNet SharpeReturnMax DDTrades
Momentum Funding2.01+119.7%16.3%6,401
MACD Crossover1.83+274.9%31.7%5,205
Funding Carry1.69+58.7%12.9%15,492
Confluence1.65+153.6%25.9%3,070
Mean Reversion1.56+145.7%20.6%1,238
Supertrend Bollinger1.38+126.1%32.3%127
Stochastic1.30+67.1%16.1%322
Long Hype Short Alts1.17+125.3%42.4%238
MA Crossover1.12+158.7%45.7%1,414
AI Trading Bot1.09+148.2%48.4%1,937
Supertrend1.07+89.1%26.7%471
Regime Gated Crypto1.05+127.8%42.6%349
RSI1.05+29.4%9.6%107
Momentum0.98+90.5%39.0%949
Pairs Tradingtested0.94+89.4%43.4%73
Regime Rotation0.89+75.3%30.4%87
Ichimoku Cloud0.85+83.1%45.9%701
ADX Trend0.82+65.4%39.5%1,155
Breakout0.81+77.7%40.4%3,414
Short Squeezetested0.62+43.0%47.6%5,480
Bollinger Bandstested0.55+28.6%35.8%816
Rebalancing Indextested0.53+29.4%58.0%363
Vol Targetingtested0.49+25.3%52.9%215
RSI Trend Pullbacktested0.33+9.2%16.4%347
Mean Reversion Regimetested0.32+1.6%2.3%277
Supertrend Crypto Btested0.21+4.0%34.6%311
Gridtested0.06-2.8%35.1%161
Ttm Squeezetested-0.40-19.9%31.7%2,067
Delta Neutraltested-0.71-17.3%18.6%11,531
Vwap Reversiontestedn/a-86.0%86.3%7,375
Skip the guesswork — run one that actually worked

13 of 30 cleared the bar. Momentum Funding was the strongest — start it on your own account, or fork it and make it yours first.

Free account, your own Hyperliquid keys — Keel only places the trades. Every strategy draws down; size accordingly.

What this is: a same-engine, same-window, same-cost backtest of 30 systematic crypto strategies on real Hyperliquid data. Two of them lost heavily — when a strategy blows up like that, a Sharpe ratio stops being meaningful, so we judge those on total return and mark the Sharpe n/a. A backtest is evidence, not a promise — every strategy here can lose, and past performance does not predict future results. This is not investment advice.

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Questions

Do crypto trading bots work? — FAQ

Do crypto trading bots actually work?

Do crypto trading bots work? We backtested 30 distinct strategies on real Hyperliquid data over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, net of fees, slippage and funding. 13 cleared a Sharpe of 1.0, 19 cleared 0.8, and 26 of 30 made money — but 4 lost, one of them about 86%. The median Sharpe was 0.92. So: some do, most are mediocre, and a few are traps — the honest answer is to test before you trust.

How many crypto strategies are actually profitable?

In our 30-strategy study, 26 made money net of costs and 4 lost — one of them fell about 86%. But "profitable" isn't the bar: 13 cleared a Sharpe of 1.0 (good risk-adjusted return); the rest range from mediocre to outright traps.

Why do most crypto trading bots fail?

Most aren't tested honestly. The strategies that fail here do so by high turnover eating returns, by working only in one market regime, or by a single lucky trade inflating a ratio. We publish all 30, including the 4 losers, so the failures are as visible as the winners.