momentumhigh risk

Momentum Strategy on Hyperliquid

Does a momentum strategy work on Hyperliquid perps? Backtested on real Hyperliquid perps from 2024-08-15 to 2026-07-05, the default settings earned a Sharpe of 0.98 — +90.5% total return with a 39.0% worst drawdown across 949 trades, net of fees, slippage, and funding.

By Keel Research · Data as of 2026-07-05 · how this backtest was produced
EquityDrawdown
Sharpe
0.98
default settings
Total return
+90.5%
Worst drawdown
−39.0%
Trades
949

2024-08-152026-07-05 · net of fees, slippage, and funding · price-only Sharpe 1.07 · these are the default settings, not a hand-picked best case.

At $1,000, this strategy’s worst historical dip was about $390. Free account, your own Hyperliquid keys — Keel only trades.

How it works

How it works

This is cross-sectional momentum: perps that have outperformed their peers over the past two weeks tend to keep leading for the next several days. In crypto the effect is amplified by attention and flow — rallies pull in volume, and volume pulls in more flow. Each day the strategy ranks the top-50 Hyperliquid perps by two-week momentum and buys the leading quarter, but only names trading on genuinely elevated volume, which filters out stale drifts. Holdings are long-only and sized inverse to volatility so each contributes roughly equal risk, and a market-wide trend filter moves the whole book to cash when the broad market rolls over.

When it works best

Broad risk-on regimes with real dispersion between coins — the book compounds hardest when a handful of names break away and lead for days or weeks, the alt-rotation pattern crypto tends to produce in bull markets. The trend filter keeps it invested while the market is rising and out of the way when it isn't.

When it struggles

Regime flips are the pain point: the trend filter exits a bar after the market turns, so the sharp momentum-crash bars right at the top are where the drawdowns come from — the maximum drawdown over the window was −39.0%, with long underwater stretches. Being long-only, it also pays funding while crowded on the popular side, and choppy, leaderless markets produce whipsaw entries and fees without follow-through.

How it’s built

The exact strategy behind this backtest — no black box. Switch to code to see or copy the full definition.

Configuration

Globalsconfig
target_timeframe1dbar_offset12h
UniverseassetsTop by Volume · HL Perps · 50 assets
Executiontrading
rebalanceBufferedbuffer_threshold0.2buffer_moderelative+1

Factories

selectionfactory
Pipeline5 steps
PriceDataLoaderData Loader
timeframe15min
TargetTimeframeResamplerData Transform
Parallel3 branches
selection
selectioncall
market_regime
EWMAIndicator
window2
MarketTrendRegimeFilterRegime Detector
fast_period5slow_period17
vol
ReturnVolatilityIndicator
window36d
return_volstore
RegimeGateForecast Composer
signal_keyselectionindex_keymarket_regimeconditionindex > 0
VolWeightSizerPosition Sizer
vol_slotreturn_voltarget_leverage1max_weight0.15

Explore the settings

precomputed · updates instantly

Adjust a setting to see the exact backtested result — including the ones that lost money.

Drift before rebalancing
Momentum lookback (days)
Momentum selection cutoff
Sharpe
0.98
Return
90.5%
Worst DD
−39.0%
Trades
949

At $1,000, these settings' worst historical dip was about $390. You land in the editor with this exact setup. Free account, your own keys.

Compare all 19 settings
SettingsSharpeReturnWorst DDTrades
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 7 · Momentum 600.8774.9%−40.9%1,687
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 7 · Momentum 750.9585.9%−38.6%1,127
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 7 · Momentum 850.7853.9%−30.3%688
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 10 · Momentum 600.6240.4%−41.3%1,537
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 10 · Momentum 750.7455.2%−38.3%1,054
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 10 · Momentum 850.7347.9%−34.2%613
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 14 · Momentum 600.7356.2%−42.8%1,481
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 14 · Momentum 75default0.9890.5%−39.0%949
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 14 · Momentum 850.8662.7%−29.6%538
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 20 · Momentum 600.5127.7%−42.8%1,427
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 20 · Momentum 750.6440.0%−37.1%870
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 20 · Momentum 850.7141.3%−27.3%510
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 30 · Momentum 600.4622.2%−41.8%1,342
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 30 · Momentum 750.6843.8%−32.0%845
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 30 · Momentum 850.7340.9%−22.2%450
Drift 0.1 · Momentum 14 · Momentum 750.9898.3%−42.3%1,110
Drift 0.3 · Momentum 14 · Momentum 750.9475.6%−35.0%843
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 40 · Momentum 750.3814.3%−31.2%782
Drift 0.2 · Momentum 60 · Momentum 75-0.17-21.4%−44.2%701

The data

Monthly returns

MonthReturn
2024-080.0%
2024-09+32.9%
2024-10-7.1%
2024-11+35.8%
2024-12+5.8%
2025-01-1.8%
2025-020.0%
2025-03-13.9%
2025-04+34.1%
2025-05-3.8%
2025-06-7.5%
2025-07+31.8%
2025-08-5.6%
2025-090.0%
2025-10-20.0%
2025-11-7.2%
2025-12-5.1%
2026-01+8.4%
2026-020.0%
2026-03+1.5%
2026-04+9.6%
2026-05+0.7%
2026-060.0%
2026-070.0%

Which assets it traded

Share of returnAvg allocationDays heldmax weight% of time heldAsset
18.880.1172940.1513.6TAO
16.40.1234610.158.9kPEPE
16.360.115930.1513.5ENA
14.530.1458510.157.4XRP
13.790.1025660.159.6PENGU
10.560.1302770.1511.2SUI
8.960.1285270.153.9XLM
8.930.1227610.158.9CRV
7.80.1376380.155.5ADA
7.610.1016440.156.4JTO
7.050.1132740.1510.7WIF
6.920.1278510.157.4ONDO
6.090.1271670.159.7kBONK
5.290.1223590.158.6FET
3.690.1109700.1510.2HYPE
3.690.121680.159.9PENDLE
3.580.1426520.157.5BCH
3.30.0801370.155.4ZEC
3.070.0874640.159.3SPX
2.560.0877550.158VVV
2.250.1481240.153.5AVAX
1.470.0754560.14678.1FARTCOIN
1.40.1248670.159.7AAVE
0.750.0967100.14911.5XPL
0.450.1448520.157.5DOGE
0.320.1590.151.3XMR
0.170.1493450.156.5BTC
0.060.15320.154.6PAXG
0.030.0866120.12821.7LIT
0null100.1GRAM
0null100.1CHIP
-0.420.1286340.154.9SOL
-0.680.1271360.155.2NEAR
-0.690.1222620.159UNI
-0.710.12500.157.3MORPHO
-0.740.1428330.154.8TRX
-1.220.1052130.151.9WLFI
-1.250.1388420.156.1BNB
-1.520.0855110.14581.6MET
-1.60.1106250.153.6PUMP
-2.270.0973210.153MON
-2.350.1271500.157.3TIA
-2.590.1345410.156ARB
-2.790.127350.155.1LTC
-3.260.1349360.155.2LINK
-3.490.1248360.155.2JUP
-4.070.1367790.1511.5ETH
-4.210.0772220.153.2TRUMP
-5.750.118500.157.3WLD
-10.440.124360.155.2DYDX

How it did in rising vs falling markets

MarketDaysReturnSharpe
Rising markets333+257.6%2.59
Falling markets353-46.7%-3.23

What this is: a historical backtest on real Hyperliquid market data, net of fees, slippage, and funding. Its worst historical drawdown was 39.0% — expect drawdowns of that order or worse. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice. Size your account so a full drawdown is survivable.

Questions

Common questions

Does a momentum strategy work on Hyperliquid perps?

Over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05 on real Hyperliquid perps, the default settings earned a Sharpe of 0.98 with +90.5% total return and a 39.0% worst drawdown across 949 trades — net of fees, slippage, and funding. Read the drawdown expectations before sizing your account.

Best momentum lookback and selection settings for crypto

You can adjust Drift before rebalancing, Momentum lookback (days), Momentum selection cutoff. The config explorer on this page lets you compare every setting we tested — including the ones that underperformed — with the exact backtested result for each.

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