same window · same costs · same engine
ADX Trend vs MA Crossover
Backtested on the same Hyperliquid perps over 2024-08-15 → 2026-09-29, at the same costs and on the same engine: MA Crossover wins on risk-adjusted return, a Sharpe of 1.05 against 0.85. MA Crossover rode out the shallower worst drawdown (30%), and MA Crossover made the most in total. When Bitcoin was trending up, MA Crossover gained more; when it was falling, ADX Trend held up better.
By Keel Research Team · Data as of 2026-09-29 · how these backtests were produced
ADX Trend MA Crossovergrowth of $100, net of costs
- Net Sharpe
- 0.85
- Total return
- +81.6%
- Max drawdown
- −39.7%
- Trades
- 1,403
- Win rate
- 64%
MA Crossoverwinner
- Net Sharpe
- 1.05
- Total return
- +130.8%
- Max drawdown
- −30.4%
- Trades
- 54
- Win rate
- 37%
Run the winner — MA Crossover
MA Crossover came out ahead here (Sharpe 1.05 vs 0.85). Start it on your own Hyperliquid account, or fork it and change the settings first.
At $1,000, MA Crossover's worst historical dip was about $304. Free account, your own keys — Keel only places the trades.
When each one wins
Total return while Bitcoin was trending up vs trending down (split by Bitcoin’s 100-day trend line).
| Market | ADX Trend | MA Crossover | Higher return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Bitcoin | +210.0% | +249.9% | MA Crossover |
| Falling Bitcoin | -35.2% | -43.1% | ADX Trend |
What this is: a head-to-head backtest of ADX Trend and MA Crossover on the same Hyperliquid window, costs and engine — net of fees, slippage and funding. The overlay is growth of $100 (normalized), not a return promise. A higher Sharpe is not a guarantee; both strategies draw down. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.
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