same window · same costs · same engine

RSI vs Stochastic

Backtested on the same Hyperliquid perps over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, at the same costs and on the same engine: Stochastic wins on risk-adjusted return, a Sharpe of 1.30 against 1.05. RSI rode out the shallower worst drawdown (10%), and Stochastic made the most in total. When Bitcoin was trending up, Stochastic gained more; when it was falling, RSI held up better.

By Keel Research · Data as of 2026-07-05 · how these backtests were produced
RSI Stochasticgrowth of $100, net of costs
RSI
Net Sharpe
1.05
Total return
+29.4%
Max drawdown
−9.6%
Trades
107
Win rate
61%
Stochasticwinner
Net Sharpe
1.30
Total return
+67.1%
Max drawdown
−16.1%
Trades
322
Win rate
50%
Run the winner — Stochastic

Stochastic came out ahead here (Sharpe 1.30 vs 1.05). Start it on your own Hyperliquid account, or fork it and change the settings first.

Run Stochastic live →Fork & customize

At $1,000, Stochastic's worst historical dip was about $161. Free account, your own keys — Keel only places the trades.

When each one wins

Total return while Bitcoin was trending up vs trending down (split by Bitcoin’s 100-day trend line).

MarketRSIStochasticHigher return
Rising Bitcoin+12.7%+63.5%Stochastic
Falling Bitcoin+14.8%+2.2%RSI
See RSI →See Stochastic →

What this is: a head-to-head backtest of RSI and Stochastic on the same Hyperliquid window, costs and engine — net of fees, slippage and funding. The overlay is growth of $100 (normalized), not a return promise. A higher Sharpe is not a guarantee; both strategies draw down. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.

Related tools

Live crypto market regime→Hyperliquid fee calculator→

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Or the big question: do crypto trading bots actually work? →
Questions

RSI vs Stochastic FAQ

RSI vs Stochastic: which is better for crypto?

Backtested on the same Hyperliquid perps over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, at the same costs and on the same engine: Stochastic wins on risk-adjusted return, a Sharpe of 1.30 against 1.05. RSI rode out the shallower worst drawdown (10%), and Stochastic made the most in total. When Bitcoin was trending up, Stochastic gained more; when it was falling, RSI held up better.

Is this a fair comparison of RSI and Stochastic?

Yes. Both were backtested over the exact same dates (2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05), with the same costs — fees, slippage and funding — on the same engine Keel uses to trade live. Neither side gets a friendlier window or lower fees.

When does Stochastic beat RSI?

It depends on the market. When Bitcoin was trending up, Stochastic made more; when Bitcoin was falling, RSI held up better. That split is measured across the whole test from each strategy's own results, not a single lucky month.