same window · same costs · same engine

MACD Crossover vs MA Crossover

Backtested on the same Hyperliquid perps over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, at the same costs and on the same engine: MACD Crossover wins on risk-adjusted return, a Sharpe of 1.83 against 1.12. MACD Crossover rode out the shallower worst drawdown (32%), and MACD Crossover made the most in total. When Bitcoin was trending up, MA Crossover gained more; when it was falling, MACD Crossover held up better.

By Keel Research · Data as of 2026-07-05 · how these backtests were produced
MACD Crossover MA Crossovergrowth of $100, net of costs
MACD Crossoverwinner
Net Sharpe
1.83
Total return
+274.9%
Max drawdown
−31.7%
Trades
5,205
Win rate
71%
MA Crossover
Net Sharpe
1.12
Total return
+158.7%
Max drawdown
−45.7%
Trades
1,414
Win rate
79%
Run the winner — MACD Crossover

MACD Crossover came out ahead here (Sharpe 1.83 vs 1.12). Start it on your own Hyperliquid account, or fork it and change the settings first.

Run MACD Crossover live →Fork & customize

At $1,000, MACD Crossover's worst historical dip was about $317. Free account, your own keys — Keel only places the trades.

When each one wins

Total return while Bitcoin was trending up vs trending down (split by Bitcoin’s 100-day trend line).

MarketMACD CrossoverMA CrossoverHigher return
Rising Bitcoin+92.1%+100.4%MA Crossover
Falling Bitcoin+96.4%+29.1%MACD Crossover
See MACD Crossover →See MA Crossover →

What this is: a head-to-head backtest of MACD Crossover and MA Crossover on the same Hyperliquid window, costs and engine — net of fees, slippage and funding. The overlay is growth of $100 (normalized), not a return promise. A higher Sharpe is not a guarantee; both strategies draw down. Past performance does not predict future results, and this is not investment advice.

Related tools

Live crypto market regime→Hyperliquid fee calculator→

More comparisons

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Or the big question: do crypto trading bots actually work? →
Questions

MACD Crossover vs MA Crossover FAQ

MACD Crossover vs MA Crossover: which is better for crypto?

Backtested on the same Hyperliquid perps over 2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05, at the same costs and on the same engine: MACD Crossover wins on risk-adjusted return, a Sharpe of 1.83 against 1.12. MACD Crossover rode out the shallower worst drawdown (32%), and MACD Crossover made the most in total. When Bitcoin was trending up, MA Crossover gained more; when it was falling, MACD Crossover held up better.

Is this a fair comparison of MACD Crossover and MA Crossover?

Yes. Both were backtested over the exact same dates (2024-08-15 → 2026-07-05), with the same costs — fees, slippage and funding — on the same engine Keel uses to trade live. Neither side gets a friendlier window or lower fees.

When does MACD Crossover beat MA Crossover?

It depends on the market. When Bitcoin was trending up, MA Crossover made more; when Bitcoin was falling, MACD Crossover held up better. That split is measured across the whole test from each strategy's own results, not a single lucky month.